2025 Fear and Possibility.
The beginning of a new year, a new calculation. At the same time, the eventful world has begun, which direction will it actually go. There are both fears and possibilities in this. Donald Trump will officially take power as the President of the United States in the first month of this year on January 20.
That is, from now on, we will be able to see the impact of the ‘Trump policy’ in global politics. When Donald Trump came to power for the first time in 2016, he took several ‘reverse’ decisions, which are contrary to US policy itself. Will it be the same this time too?
Observers believe that Trump will bring back his old policy. But the question is – when Trump came to power in his first term, there was no war in Ukraine, and more than 45,000 people did not die in Gaza. This time, Trump will have to handle both of these. As the United States has a direct hand in these two wars, they are also very important for global stability. Although Trump has already said that he will end the war in Ukraine after 24 hours of taking power. But he has not revealed to the world how he will do it. However, it is quite certain that he will stop providing weapons to Ukraine. And if this happens, Ukraine will not be able to stand on the battlefield.
Trump also made positive statements during his election campaign about ending the Gaza war. It remains to be seen where the matter will go after taking power. Recently, some news reports have shown that the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas is in its final stages. Palestinian officials told the BBC that the agreement is 90 percent complete. On the other hand, the US administration also wants a ceasefire to be announced before Donald Trump is sworn in. As a result, it is hoped that the Trump administration may take an effective decision to end the war in Gaza.
At the end of last year, another Middle Eastern country, Syria, was liberated from its dictator. Bashar al-Assad fled and took refuge in Moscow. In such a context, it is feared that the Islamic State (IS) may re-emerge in Syria. A Syrian Kurdish commander said a few days ago that several weapons of the Syrian government have already fallen into the hands of IS. There are fears that a new conflict may break out in Syria over this. On the other hand, even if Donald Trump gives immunity to any other country in the Middle East, he will never let Iran go. This may increase tensions in the Middle East.
Rise of extremism in Europe: The rise of the far-right has been seen in various countries in Europe. France and Germany are examples. In the elections in Europe last year, a record number of lawmakers from hard-right and ultra-conservative parties were elected to the European Parliament.
People want change: In various elections last year, the ruling parties have done their worst ever. In countries like the US and the UK, the ruling parties have been defeated. Leaders of countries like India and South Africa have formed coalitions and maintained power. Countries like Taiwan and France have had to walk the path of unity. Therefore, 2025 can be called a year of hope.
Challenge of inflation: In the new year, Western economies are facing new challenges such as reducing the deficit. For this, they may take initiatives to increase taxes, reduce spending or increase growth. In the current geopolitical reality, many countries will have to increase their defense budgets.
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